Wednesday, February 6, 2008

Results but No Conclusion

The hype leading up to Super Tuesday is starting to settle down but, as was half-expected, neither party has a clear winner.
Super Tuesday results came rolling in late into the night and early this morning on the east coast. In spite of this fact, the puzzle became no clearer than it had been on less super days.

Here is where everything stands by my analysis:

Republicans are much closer than Democrats to picking a nominee. At least they have a front-runner in John McCain who took a large chunk of the states, especially most of the key winner-take-all states. The big shocker was Huckabee carrying Southern states (I don't care about how optimistic he says he was, he had to have surprised himself) , much- I'm sure- to the chagrin of Mitt Romney. Some people are saying Huckabee is a "spoiler," and he's staying in the race just to take votes away from the former Massachusetts governor (word on the street is Huckabee and McCain are buddies and the Huck-man is looking for a veep nod).
All told, Mitt Romney from my estimations is finished. California is his only flimsy hope, and in my humble opinion, even with that, his chances are slim to none of beating McCain.

On the donkey side, Obama and Clinton are probably more gridlocked than ever before simply because Obama is keeping a steady stride. Obama won more states (including a big fish in Missouri) and more delegates, but the big wins for Hillary (namely California and New York) left them in a virtual tie. The good news for the Obama camp is that the primaries coming up are in states (and a District) that are heavy in B.O. supporters.

So, with no clear end in sight, we will have to continue to wait with bated breath.

For all the primary and caucus results broken down state-by-state, click here.

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